Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002920 0.003057 0.003196 0.003348 0.003511 0.003679 0.003867
2025-04-20 0.002684 0.002889 0.003105 0.003352 0.003627 0.003924 0.004271
2025-04-27 0.002564 0.002813 0.003084 0.003401 0.003765 0.004171 0.004660
2025-05-04 0.002424 0.002699 0.003003 0.003368 0.003796 0.004286 0.004893
2025-05-11 0.002316 0.002610 0.002942 0.003348 0.003833 0.004401 0.005123
2025-05-18 0.002221 0.002531 0.002885 0.003324 0.003860 0.004500 0.005332
2025-05-25 0.002179 0.002509 0.002892 0.003375 0.003975 0.004706 0.005678
2025-06-01 0.002110 0.002451 0.002852 0.003365 0.004011 0.004812 0.005900
2025-06-08 0.002040 0.002388 0.002802 0.003338 0.004024 0.004888 0.006082
2025-06-15 0.001963 0.002314 0.002736 0.003287 0.004001 0.004913 0.006197
2025-06-22 0.001897 0.002250 0.002678 0.003244 0.003986 0.004947 0.006320
2025-06-29 0.001853 0.002213 0.002653 0.003241 0.004022 0.005048 0.006539
2025-07-06 0.001766 0.002119 0.002554 0.003140 0.003925 0.004966 0.006500
2025-07-13 0.001731 0.002090 0.002536 0.003143 0.003967 0.005077 0.006739
2025-07-20 0.001715 0.002085 0.002549 0.003188 0.004066 0.005268 0.007102
2025-07-27 0.001669 0.002039 0.002508 0.003158 0.004060 0.005310 0.007246
2025-08-03 0.001630 0.002002 0.002476 0.003139 0.004069 0.005372 0.007423
2025-08-10 0.001593 0.001965 0.002443 0.003118 0.004073 0.005427 0.007589
2025-08-17 0.001583 0.001966 0.002460 0.003164 0.004175 0.005627 0.007990
2025-08-24 0.001553 0.001937 0.002437 0.003154 0.004194 0.005706 0.008202
2025-08-31 0.001519 0.001902 0.002404 0.003130 0.004191 0.005751 0.008359
2025-09-07 0.001478 0.001857 0.002357 0.003083 0.004152 0.005738 0.008422
2025-09-14 0.001442 0.001818 0.002315 0.003044 0.004124 0.005740 0.008508